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Changes in educational policy for Swedish upper secondary school during two decades: Consequences for distribution of school resources, recruitment and outcomes (CHANCE)

The project " Changes in educational policy for Swedish upper secondary school during two decades: Consequences for distribution of school resources, recruitment and outcomes (CHANCE)" is funded by the Swedish Research Council (project 2012-5972) and runs for 5 years. The project is divided into three smaller subprojects, which are described below.

Project Presentation

In the first project the effects of the free-school choice are examined. The sub-project aims to develop models for analysis and description of the pattern of school and education choices. Moreover, the consequences of these choices for the distribution of schools and educational offerings across municipalities, and for the allocation of students and teachers from diverse backgrounds across schools and municipalities will be investigated. A model developed by the National Agency for Education that identifies local school markets will be applied to data from seven time-points between 1994/95 and 2012/13, in order to study changes in the local school markets over time. The information will be used to investigate how the variation between schools and municipalities change over time, in terms of the distribution of students in terms of social background, immigrant background and prior achievement, as well as in terms of distribution of teachers with different certification, level of education experience.

In the second sub-project the aim is to investigate how the recruitment of students from different backgrounds (social background, immigrant background, etc.) to various educational programs has changed between the early 1990s and early 2010s. Moreover, the completion of secondary education has changed over the same time period, and this is also examined with respect to student background. The questions are studied by building statistical models that include a variety of explanatory factors. These explanatory factors relate both individual characteristics, such as social background, educational background and prior achievement. A further category of explanatory factors are the types of local education markets, identified in the first subproject.

In the third project the effects of school reforms in upper-secondary schools, such as the introduction of a third year at the vocational programs, are examined. One purpose is to study how this reform influenced individuals' knowledge and skills in the adulthood. To study the knowledge and skills in adulthood, data from PIAAC (Programme for the International Assessment of Adult Competencies) is used.

Research Programme

Prerequisites, Education, and Outcomes - FUR

Project Participants



Project Extent


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Professor Monica Rosén
+46 (0) 31 786 2435

Contact Information

Department of Education and Special Education

PO Box 300, SE-405 30 Gothenburg, Sweden

Visiting Address:
Pedagogen Hus A, Västra Hamngatan 25

+46 31 786 0000

+46 31 786 2070

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